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基于Monte-Carlo模拟对辽宁高粱镉、铬的健康风险评估
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彭天舒(1991-),女,硕士研究生,助理研究员,研究方向:农产品质量安全,E-mail:tspenglaas@163.com 通讯作者:吴限鑫(1990-),女,博士,助理研究员,研究方向:农产品质量安全,E-mail:wuxianxin1225@163.com

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辽宁省农业科学院质标所基金项目(ZBSJJ2022-001);辽宁省农业科学院院长基金项目(2024BS1003);辽宁省博士科研启动基金计划项目(2024-BS-293)


Health Risk Assessment of Cadmium and Chromium in Sorghum from Liaoning based on Monte Carlo Simulation
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    摘要:

    采用电感耦合等离子体质谱法(ICP-MS)测定辽宁省五个地区49份高粱样品中Cd、Cr含量,基于蒙特卡罗(Monte-Carlo)模拟评估高粱的非致癌风险指数(HQ)、综合非致癌风险指数(HI)、致癌风险指数(CR)和综合致癌风险指数(TCR),并对存在的健康风险进行消费引导。辽宁五个地区49份高粱样品中Cd、Cr含量范围分别为0.002~0.056 mg/kg、0.116~0.782 mg/kg;五个地区高粱对成人的HQ和HI均小于1,CR和TCR均小于1×10-4;五个地区高粱对儿童的HQ和HI均小于1,CR小于1×10-4,双塔、铁岭地区的TCR小于1×10-4,但沈河、建平、阜蒙地区的TCR分别为1.04×10-4、1.16×10-4、1.06×10-4,略大于1×10-4。辽宁省五个地区高粱样品的整体污染情况较轻,Cd、Cr含量均符合国家标准;五个地区高粱对成人的HQ、HI、CR和TCR均处于安全水平;五个地区高粱对儿童的HQ、HI和CR均处于安全水平,只有沈河、建平、阜蒙三个地区存在较低的综合致癌风险,但当沈河、建平、阜蒙三个地区暴露频率分别控制在58、52、57 d/a以下时,可规避综合致癌风险。

    Abstract:

    The Cd and Cr contents of 49 sorghum samples from five regions of Liaoning Province were determined by inductively coupled plasma mass spectrometry (ICP-MS). Based on Monte Carlo simulation, the non-carcinogenic risk index (HQ), total non-carcinogenic risk index (HI), carcinogenic risk index (CR), and total carcinogenic risk index (TCR) of the sorghum samples were evaluated, and guidelines for consumption were provided considering the existing health risks. The Cd and Cr content of the sorghum samples from five regions in Liaoning were in the range of 0.002~0.056 and 0.116~0.782 mg/kg, respectively. For adults, the HQ and HI of sorghum from the five regions were less than 1, whereas the CR and TCR were less than 1×10-4. For children, the HQ and HI of sorghum from the five regions were less than 1, whereas the CR was less than 1×10-4, with the TCR of sorghum from the Shuangta and Tieling regions being less than 1×10-4. However, the TCR for sorghum from the Shenhe, Jianping, and Fumeng regions was 1.04×10-4, 1.16×10-4, and 1.06×10-4, respectively, where the values are slightly larger than 1×10-4. The overall degree of pollution of sorghum samples from the five regions in Liaoning Province was low, with the Cd and Cr levels meeting national standards. The HQ, HI, CR, and TCR of sorghum for adults were at safe levels for all five regions. The HQ, HI, and CR of sorghum from all five regions were at safe levels for children, with only the Shenhe, Jianping, and Fumeng regions having a lower total carcinogenic risk for children. However, the total carcinogenic risk could be minimized when the frequency of exposure in Shenhe, Jianping, and Fumeng was controlled to less than 58, 52, and 57 d/a, respectively.

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彭天舒,吴限鑫,李丽娜,林秋君,郭春景,王建忠.基于Monte-Carlo模拟对辽宁高粱镉、铬的健康风险评估[J].现代食品科技,2025,41(8):316-325.

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  • 收稿日期:2024-06-11
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  • 在线发布日期: 2025-10-23
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